Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 8.685401 10.089625 11.598951 13.336119 15.274365 17.364498 19.782758
2025-03-09 6.756048 8.549260 10.604211 13.113592 16.074435 19.435760 23.518101
2025-03-16 5.373792 7.331881 9.703674 12.747766 16.507674 20.954973 26.564670
2025-03-23 4.543358 6.623300 9.266640 12.805062 17.344003 22.894241 30.109297
2025-03-30 3.859823 5.988013 8.815718 12.748132 17.964983 24.532248 33.293795
2025-04-06 3.387109 5.562267 8.570802 12.898403 18.809979 26.439478 36.844157
2025-04-13 2.996985 5.195338 8.352912 13.038759 19.612261 28.287771 40.351739
2025-04-20 2.738227 4.985535 8.324499 13.417703 20.729926 30.567608 44.476549
2025-04-27 2.485258 4.749648 8.227037 13.673672 21.667167 32.617509 48.340938
2025-05-04 2.204510 4.431590 7.970306 13.664156 22.207004 34.121966 51.493319
2025-05-11 1.838951 3.921512 7.363300 13.072891 21.853794 34.346883 52.868684
2025-05-18 1.603426 3.606704 7.035730 12.878777 22.059613 35.346559 55.327905
2025-05-25 1.369838 3.265323 6.634395 12.540308 22.029819 36.007832 57.337623
2025-06-01 1.199669 3.020594 6.372722 12.403676 22.292479 37.090984 59.968386
2025-06-08 1.025420 2.740686 6.019828 12.084263 22.241257 37.692742 61.901735
2025-06-15 0.924130 2.598317 5.901805 12.151853 22.802726 39.222373 65.226923
2025-06-22 0.820336 2.434099 5.725925 12.102476 23.163820 40.448544 68.123151
2025-06-29 0.749687 2.334635 5.664358 12.248845 23.848337 42.186332 71.822566
2025-07-06 0.685017 2.239151 5.600891 12.384461 24.514841 43.908737 75.533256
2025-07-13 0.647883 2.206298 5.660631 12.748617 25.579986 46.283464 80.289797
2025-07-20 0.603092 2.146739 5.658945 12.994551 26.446848 48.361241 84.630210
2025-07-27 0.541541 2.031996 5.529125 12.985481 26.864654 49.724494 87.886941
2025-08-03 0.446134 1.803426 5.127371 12.417847 26.265722 49.414430 88.509521